Trevor and I did some research on the Internet and found that the groundhog is only correct predicting the weather 39% of the time. We have a better chance flipping a coin. Even better would be to find historically what is more likely (a.k.a. the maximum likelihood estimator) and then always say that. It's still a fun tradition, though. Oh, and by the way, it's Groundhog Day not Groundhog's Day. :0) lol
FYI... I don't care if people say Groundhog's Day. This has been a running inside joke between Kathryn and I that everyone pronounces it incorrectly. Didn't want everyone to think I was just being critical.
Oh, Lindsay I laughed hard when I read your comment about how it is Groundhog Day and not Groundhog's Day. Just so you know I have this tendency to pluralize everything when I am around Lindsay :) I don't understand why the day does not belong to the groundhog, so therefore it would not be an apostrophe S after. But after doing a search on the name, it's not. (I am learning from Lindsay and Trevor the fun and importance of researching information.
There are actually several Groundhog Day celebrations. It looks like the majority are back East. I'm surprised Utah doesn't have one though. If you go to http://www.groundhogsday.com/groundhogcentral.php you will be able to see the different ones and they also give how often the specific groundhog has been correct in the past.
7 comments:
Groundhog's Day doesn't mean much to people in AZ. In fact, in six weeks we could be in the 90's!
I totally forgot it was Groundhog's day...
the 90's in six weeks...?!?!
Trevor and I did some research on the Internet and found that the groundhog is only correct predicting the weather 39% of the time. We have a better chance flipping a coin. Even better would be to find historically what is more likely (a.k.a. the maximum likelihood estimator) and then always say that. It's still a fun tradition, though. Oh, and by the way, it's Groundhog Day not Groundhog's Day. :0) lol
Happy Rattlesnake day in Arizona!
FYI... I don't care if people say Groundhog's Day. This has been a running inside joke between Kathryn and I that everyone pronounces it incorrectly. Didn't want everyone to think I was just being critical.
Oh, Lindsay I laughed hard when I read your comment about how it is Groundhog Day and not Groundhog's Day. Just so you know I have this tendency to pluralize everything when I am around Lindsay :) I don't understand why the day does not belong to the groundhog, so therefore it would not be an apostrophe S after. But after doing a search on the name, it's not. (I am learning from Lindsay and Trevor the fun and importance of researching information.
There are actually several Groundhog Day celebrations. It looks like the majority are back East. I'm surprised Utah doesn't have one though. If you go to http://www.groundhogsday.com/groundhogcentral.php you will be able to see the different ones and they also give how often the specific groundhog has been correct in the past.
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